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Sriver, RL, M Goes, ME Mann and K Keller (2010): Climate response to tropical cyclone-induced ocean mixing in an Earth system model of intermediate complexity, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, DOI: 10.1029/2010JC006106.
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Tibbits, MM, M Haran and JC Liechty (2010): Parallel multivariate slice sampling, Statistics and Computing, 21, 415-430, DOI: 10.1007/s11222-010-9178-z.
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Vacco, DA, RB Alley, D Pollard and DB Reusch (2010): Numerical modeling of valley glacier stagnation as a paleoclimatic indicator, Quaternary Research, 73, 403-409, DOI: 10.1016/j.yqres.2009.09.006.
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Yu, X and D Abler (2010): Incorporating zero and missing responses into CVM with open-ended bidding: willingness to pay for blue skies in Beijing, Environment and Development Economics, 15, 535-556, DOI: 10.1017/S1355770X10000197.
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Abler, D, K Fisher-Vanden, M McDill, R Ready, J Shortle, and T Wilson (2009): Economic Impacts of Projected Climate Change in Pennsylvania, Report, Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection.
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Allison, I, RB Alley, HA Fricker, RH Thomas and RC Warner (2009): Ice sheet mass balance and sea level, Antarctic, http://journals.cambridge.org/abstract_S0954102009990137.
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Aw, BY, MJ Roberts and DY Xu (2009): R&D investment, exporting, and productivity dynamics, Report, National Bureau of Economic Research, http://www.nber.org/papers/w14670.
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Braden, JB, DG Brown, J Dozier, P Gober, SM Hughes, DR Maidment, SL Schneider, PW Schultz, JS Shortle, SK Swallow and CM Werner (2009): Social science in a water observing system, Water Resources Research, 45, W11301, DOI: 10.1029/2009WR008216.
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Brocq, AM, AJ Payne, MJ Siegert and RB Alley (2009): A subglacial water-flow model for West Antarctica, Journal of Glaciology, 55, 879-888, DOI: 10.3189/002214309790152564.
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Crespin, E, H Goosse, T Fichefet and ME Mann (2009): The 15th century Arctic warming in coupled model simulations with data assimilation, Climate of the Past, 5, 389-401, DOI: 10.5194/cp-5-389-2009.
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Fan, F, ME Mann and CM Ammann (2009): Understanding Changes in the Asian Summer Monsoon over the Past Millennium: Insights from a Long-Term Coupled Model Simulation, Journal of Climate, 22, 1736-1748, DOI: 10.1175/2008JCLI2336.1.
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Grabon, JS, KJ Davis, C Kiemle and G Ehret (2009): Airborne Lidar Observations of the Transition Zone Between the Convective Boundary Layer and Free Atmosphere During the International H2O Project (IHOP) in 2002, Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 134, 61-83, DOI: 10.1007/s10546-009-9431-1.
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Kamat, R, J Shortle and A Rose (2009): Global Climate Change and the Value of Solar Energy in U.S. Agriculture, In The Economics of Climate Change Policy: International, National and Regional Mitigation Strategies, [AZ Rose (ed)], Edward Elgar, https://books.google.com/books?id=ACdZAAAAYAAJ.
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Schienke, EW, N Tuana, DA Brown, KJ Davis, K Keller, JS Shortle, M Stickler and SD Baum (2009): The Role of the National Science Foundation Broader Impacts Criterion in Enhancing Research Ethics Pedagogy, Social Epistemology, 23, 317-336, DOI: 10.1080/02691720903364282.
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Vacco, DA, RB Alley and D Pollard (2009): Modeling dependence of moraine deposition on climate history: the effect of seasonality, Quaternary Science Reviews, 28, 639-646, DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2008.04.018.
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Walker, RT, TK Dupont, DM Holland, BR Parizek and RB Alley (2009): Initial effects of oceanic warming on a coupled ocean–ice shelf–ice stream system, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 287, 483-487, DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2009.08.032.
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[1] |
Winberry, JP, S Anandakrishnan and RB Alley (2009): Seismic observations of transient subglacial water-flow beneath MacAyeal Ice Stream, West Antarctica, Geophysical Research Letters, 36, DOI: 10.1029/2009GL037730.
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2024
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Hosseini-Shakib, I, A Alipour, B Seiyon Lee, V Srikrishnan, RE Nicholas, K Keller and S Sharma (2024): What drives uncertainty surrounding riverine flood risks?, J. Hydrol., 634, 131055, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131055.
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Quinn, JD, PM Reed, M Giuliani and A Castelletti (2024): Average domination: A new multi-objective value metric applied to assess the benefits of forecasts in reservoir operations under different flood design levels, Adv. Water Resour., 185, 104638, DOI: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2024.104638.
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Silvis, VG, CM Cooper, LD Iulo, RE Nicholas and LB Fowler (2024): Strengthening opportunities to integrate informal resilience practices in formal flood resilience planning, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 107, 104490, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104490.
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2023
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Lucash, MS, NG Williams, V Srikrishnan, K Keller, RM Scheller, C Hegelson, RE Nicholas and EA Smithwick (2023): Balancing multiple forest management objectives under climate change in central Wisconsin, U.S.A, Trees, Forests and People, 14, 100460, DOI: 10.1016/j.tfp.2023.100460.
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[498] |
Roth, S, BS Lee, RE Nicholas, K Keller and M Haran (2023): Bayesian Spatial Models for Projecting Corn Yields, Remote Sensing, 16, 69, DOI: 10.3390/rs16010069.
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Smithwick, EA, J Baka, D Bird, C Blaszscak-Boxe, CA Cole, JD Fuentes, SE Gergel, LL Glenna, C Grady, CA Hunt, LD Iulo, J Kaye and K Keller (2023): Regenerative landscape design: an integrative framework to enhance sustainability planning - Ecology & Society, Ecol. Soc., 28, DOI: 10.5751/ES-14483-280405.
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Tebyanian, N, J Fischbach, R Lempert, D Knopman, H Wu, L Iulo and K Keller (2023): Rhodium-SWMM: An open-source tool for green infrastructure placement under deep uncertainty, Environ. Model. Softw., 163, 105671, DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105671.
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Tebyanian, N, J Fischbach, R Lempert, D Knopman, H Wu, L Iulo and K Keller (2023): Rhodium-SWMM: An open-source tool for green infrastructure placement under deep uncertainty, Environmental Modelling & Software, 163, 105671, DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105671.
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Ye, H (2023): Application of Uncertainty Quantification, Benchmarking, and Model Diagnostic Tools to Inform Climate Risk Assessments, Ph.D. Thesis, The Pennsylvania State University, https://ezaccess.libraries.psu.edu/login?url=https://www.proquest.com/pqdtglobal1/dissertations-theses/application-uncertainty-quantification/docview/2887828837/sem-2.
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2022
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Ceres, RL, CE Forest and K Keller (2022): Trade‐offs and synergies in managing coastal flood risk: A case study for New York City, J. Flood Risk Manag., 15, DOI: 10.1111/jfr3.12771.
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Cooper, CM, S Sharma, RE Nicholas and K Keller (2022): Toward more actionable flood‐risk information, Earths Future, 10, DOI: 10.1029/2022ef003093.
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Helgeson, C, RE Nicholas, K Keller, CE Forest and N Tuana (2022): Attention to values helps shape convergence research, Climatic Change, 170, 17, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03274-y.
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Iulo, L, A Arora, L Fowler, L Goldberg, C Helgeson, K Keller, RE Nicholas, S Sharma, N Tebyanian, N Tuana and E al. (2022): Establishing priorities for Pennsylvania community flood resilience, DOI: 10.31235/osf.io/qa4z7.
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Lee, BS and M Haran (2022): PICAR: An Efficient Extendable Approach for Fitting Hierarchical Spatial Models, Technometrics, 64, 187-198, DOI: 10.1080/00401706.2021.1933596.
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Roth, SM, BS Lee, S Sharma, I Hosseini-Shakib, K Keller and M Haran (2022): Flood hazard model calibration using multiresolution model output, Environmetrics, n/a, e2769, DOI: 10.1002/env.2769.
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Sharma, S, BS Lee, I Hosseini-Shakib, M Haran and K Keller (2022): Neglecting model parametric uncertainty can drastically underestimate flood risks, Earths Future, DOI: 10.1029/2022ef003050.
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Simpson, M, L Padilla, K Keller and A Klippel (2022): Immersive storm surge flooding: Scale and risk perception in virtual reality, J. Environ. Psychol., 80, 101764, DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvp.2022.101764.
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Srikrishnan, V, Y Guan, RSJ Tol and K Keller (2022): Probabilistic projections of baseline twenty-first century CO2 emissions using a simple calibrated integrated assessment model, Clim. Change, 170, 37, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03279-7.
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Tebyanian, N (2022): Green Infrastructure Placement under Deep Uncertainty, Ph.D. Thesis, Department of Architecture, The Pennsylvania State University.
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Wong, TE, L Rennels, F Errickson, V Srikrishnan, A Bakker, K Keller and D Anthoff (2022): MimiBRICK.jl: A Julia package for the BRICK model for sea-level change in the Mimi integrated modeling framework, J. Open Source Softw., 7, 4556, DOI: 10.21105/joss.04556.
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Yoon, J, P Romero-Lankao, YC Yang, C Klassert, N Urban, K Kaiser, K Keller, B Yarlagadda, N Voisin, PM Reed and R Moss (2022): A typology for characterizing human action in MultiSector dynamics models, Earths Future, 10, DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002641.
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2021
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Errickson, FC, K Keller, WD Collins, V Srikrishnan and D Anthoff (2021): Equity is more important for the social cost of methane than climate uncertainty, Nature, 592, 564-570, DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03386-6.
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Helgeson, C, V Srikrishnan, K Keller and N Tuana (2021): Why Simpler Computer Simulation Models Can Be Epistemically Better for Informing Decisions, Philos. Sci., 88, 213-233, DOI: 10.1086/711501.
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Keller, K, C Helgeson and V Srikrishnan (2021): Climate Risk Management, Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci., 49, 95-116, DOI: 10.1146/annurev-earth-080320-055847.
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Lafferty, DC, RL Sriver, I Haqiqi, TW Hertel, K Keller and RE Nicholas (2021): Statistically bias-corrected and downscaled climate models underestimate the adverse effects of extreme heat on U.S. maize yields, Communications Earth & Environment, 2, 1-10, DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00266-9.
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Marangoni, G, JR Lamontagne, JD Quinn, PM Reed and K Keller (2021): Adaptive mitigation strategies hedge against extreme climate futures, Clim. Change, 166, 37, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03132-x.
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Sharma, S, BS Lee, RE Nicholas and K Keller (2021): A safety factor approach to designing urban infrastructure for dynamic conditions, Earths Future, 9, DOI: 10.1029/2021ef002118.
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Sharma, S, M Gomez, K Keller, RE Nicholas and A Mejia (2021): Regional Flood Risk Projections under Climate Change, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22, 2259-2274, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0238.1.
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Srikrishnan, V and K Keller (2021): Small increases in agent-based model complexity can result in large increases in required calibration data, Environmental Modelling & Software, 138, 104978, DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.104978.
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Veltman, K, CA Rotz, L Chase, J Cooper, CE Forest, PA Ingraham, RC Izaurralde, CD Jones, RE Nicholas, MD Ruark, W Salas, G Thoma and O Jolliet (2021): Assessing and reducing the environmental impact of dairy production systems in the northern US in a changing climate, Agric. Syst., 192, 103170, DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2021.103170.
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[472] |
Wong, TE, Y Cui, DL Royer and K Keller (2021): A tighter constraint on Earth-system sensitivity from long-term temperature and carbon-cycle observations, Nat. Commun., 12, 3173, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-23543-9.
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Ye, H, RE Nicholas, S Roth and K Keller (2021): Considering uncertainties expands the lower tail of maize yield projections, PLoS ONE, 16, e0259180, DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259180.
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Zarekarizi, M, KJ Roop-Eckart, S Sharma and K Keller (2021): The FLOod Probability Interpolation Tool (FLOPIT): A Simple Tool to Improve Spatial Flood Probability Quantification and Communication, Water, 13, 666, DOI: 10.3390/w13050666.
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2020
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Hadjimichael, A, PM Reed and JD Quinn (2020): Navigating Deeply Uncertain Tradeoffs in Harvested Predator-Prey Systems, Complexity, 2020, DOI: 10.1155/2020/4170453.
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Hoffman, AL, AR Kemanian and CE Forest (2020): The response of maize, sorghum, and soybean yield to growing-phase climate revealed with machine learning, Environmental Research Letters, 15, 094013, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab7b22.
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Hörl, J, K Keller and R Yousefpour (2020): Reviewing the performance of adaptive forest management strategies with robustness analysis, For. Policy Econ., 119, 102289, DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2020.102289.
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[466] |
Lee, BS, M Haran, RW Fuller, D Pollard and K Keller (2020): A fast particle-based approach for calibrating a 3-D model of the Antarctic ice sheet, The Annals of Applied Statistics, 14, 605-634, DOI: 10.1214/19-AOAS1305.
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Lee, S (2020): Computational Methods for Hierarchical Spatial Models and Ice Sheet Model Calibration, Ph.D. Thesis, Department of Statistics, The Pennsylvania State University, https://etda.libraries.psu.edu/files/final_submissions/22528.
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Radke, N, K Keller, R Yousefpour and M Hanewinkel (2020): Identifying decision-relevant uncertainties for dynamic adaptive forest management under climate change, Clim. Change, 163, 891-911, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02905-0.
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Tsai, CY, CE Forest and D Pollard (2020): The role of internal climate variability in projecting Antarctica’s contribution to future sea-level rise, Climate Dynamics, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05354-8.
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Vega-Westhoff, B, RL Sriver, C Hartin, TE Wong and K Keller (2020): The role of climate sensitivity in upper‐tail sea level rise projections, Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, DOI: 10.1029/2019gl085792.
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Zarekarizi, M, V Srikrishnan and K Keller (2020): Neglecting uncertainties biases house-elevation decisions to manage riverine flood risks, Nature Communications, 11, 5361, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-19188-9.
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2019
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Ceres, RL, CE Forest and K Keller (2019): Optimization of multiple storm surge risk mitigation strategies for an island City On a Wedge, Environmental Modelling & Software, 119, 341-353, DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.06.011.
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[459] |
Coronese, M, F Lamperti, K Keller, F Chiaromonte and A Roventini (2019): Evidence for sharp increase in the economic damages of extreme natural disasters, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116, 21450-21455, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1907826116.
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[458] |
Ho, E, DV Budescu, V Bosetti, DP van Vuuren and K Keller (2019): Not all carbon dioxide emission scenarios are equally likely: a subjective expert assessment, Climatic Change, 155, 545-561, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-019-02500-y.
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[457] |
Hogan, E, RE Nicholas, K Keller, S Eilts and RL Sriver (2019): Representation of U.S. Warm Temperature Extremes in Global Climate Model Ensembles, Journal of Climate, 32, 2591-2603, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0075.1.
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[456] |
Lamontagne, JR, PM Reed, G Marangoni, K Keller and GG Garner (2019): Robust abatement pathways to tolerable climate futures require immediate global action, Nature Climate Change, 9, 290-294, DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0426-8.
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Libardoni, AG, CE Forest, AP Sokolov and E Monier (2019): Underestimating Internal Variability Leads to Narrow Estimates of Climate System Properties, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 10000-10007, DOI: 10.1029/2019GL082442.
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Olson, R, , L Ruckert, W Chang, K Keller, M Haran and SI An (2019): Stilt: Easy Emulation of Time Series AR(1) Computer Model Output in Multidimensional Parameter Space, DOI: 10.32614/rj-2018-049.
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[453] |
Oprean, D, C Spence, M Simpson, R Miller, S Bansal, K Keller and A Klippel (2019): Human Interpretation of Trade-Off Diagrams in Multi-Objective Problems: Implications for Developing Interactive Decision Support Systems, DOI: 10.24251/HICSS.2019.189.
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[452] |
Perz, SG (2019): Collaboration Across Boundaries for Social-Ecological Systems Science: Experiences Around the World, https://play.google.com/store/books/details?id=b7SPDwAAQBAJ.
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[451] |
Ruckert, KL, V Srikrishnan and K Keller (2019): Characterizing the deep uncertainties surrounding coastal flood hazard projections: A case study for Norfolk, VA, Scientific Reports, 9, 11373, DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-47587-6.
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Srikrishnan, V, Y Guan, RS Tol and K Keller (2019): Fossil fuel resources, decarbonization, and economic growth drive the feasibility of Paris climate targets, arXiv [stat.AP], http://arxiv.org/abs/1908.01923.
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Vega‐Westhoff, B, RL Sriver, CA Hartin, TE Wong and K Keller (2019): Impacts of Observational Constraints Related to Sea Level on Estimates of Climate Sensitivity, Earth's Future, 7, 677-690, DOI: 10.1029/2018EF001082.
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Wong, TE, Y Cui, DL Royer and K Keller (2019): Evidence for higher Earth-system sensitivity from long-term carbon-cycle observations, arXiv [physics.geo-ph], http://arxiv.org/abs/1910.11987.
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2018
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